发信人: qqgibson (1/3理想), 信区: Headline
标 题: Re: 有多少牛人准确预测了四川大地震(组图)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue May 13 08:49:23 2008)

强烈要求删除此条伪劣新闻！！！美国地质局USGS说地震至今还是无法预测的：

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/learning/faq.php?categoryID=6&faqID=13

Q: Can you predict earthquakes?

A: No. Neither the USGS nor Caltech nor any other scientists have ever
predicted a major earthquake. They do not know how, and they do not expect
to know how any time in the foreseeable future. However based on scientific
data, probabilities can be calculated for potential future earthquakes. For
example, scientists estimate that over the next 30 years the probability of
a major EQ occurring in the San Francisco Bay area is 67% and 60% in
Southern California.

The USGS focuses their efforts on the long-term mitigation of earthquake
hazards by helping to improve the safety of structures, rather than by
trying to accomplish short-term predictions.

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